Russian Foreign HUMINT

I. Bazarov’s network

II. Batyushin’s prize agent

III. Col. Alfred Redl

A. Evidenzbüro

B. Plan III

Austria-Hungary

I. Austria-Hungary as Weak Link

A. 1867 Ausgleich

1) Dual Monarchy

II. Diplomatic intelligence handled by the Ballhausplatz

III. Military intelligence handled by the Evidenzbüro

IV. Problems of appraisal and assessment

Germany

I. IIIb (IIIrd Oberquartiermeister)

II. Dr. Max Schultz

III. Baron August Schluga/“Agent 17”

July Crisis

I. Gavrilo Princip and the Black Hand (Narodna Odbrana)

II. Assassination of Franz Ferdinand, 28 Jun 1914

III. International response

IV. Austro-Hungarian ultimatum, 23 Jul

V. Declaration of war on Serbia 28 Jul

The Move to War

I. Mobilization

A. War by timetable

B. Kriegsgefahrzustand

II. Britain as wildcard

III. Russian general mobilization, 31 Jul

IV. German mobilization

A. Schlieffen Plan

V. Violation of Belgian neutrality